Global Food Security

Fishmeal and fish oil are the foundations of modern fed aquaculture.  Early feeds had a very high inclusion of marine ingredients, which by meeting the nutritional needs of the early farmed species allowed the industry to develop.  Aquaculture has been the fastest growing protein sector for several decades and as it has grown over time feed composition has altered as a reflection of finite availability of the materials.  Rather than the commodities that they were regarded as in the early days, fishmeal and fish oil are now seen as strategic ingredients, their use in feeds varying proportionately with the nutritional advantage they may be able to confer at key life cycle stages in production (e.g. hatcheries, broodstock).  Similarly, in pig and poultry nutrition they are used to provide a boost to juvenile animals that will maintain benefits throughout the production cycle.  Global fed aquaculture production in 2015 was estimated at approximately 41 million tonnes.  Pork production was 117 million tonnes, and poultry (chicken) was 116 million tonnes.  Fishmeal and fish oil plays a crucial role in supporting this production, thereby making a significant contribution to global food security.

Population growth and global food security

Although global population growth is projected to slow by 2030 it will still result in an estimated 1.3 billion more people which is a 19% increase from 2014[1].  The increase in demand for food supply will present a growing challenge in the next two decades.  The FAO Circular “Economic analysis of supply and demand for food up to 2030 – Special focus on fish and fishery products” further indicated that the population trends will not be uniform in all parts of the world but range from an increase of 50% for Africa to a minor decline in Europe.  A generally aging population is likely to increase the demand for healthier products and reduce the consumption of starchy staple foods with an increase in the demand for fish protein, while meat consumption is expected to level off.  The food consumption is reaching a plateau in more mature economies but significant portions of the population in Africa and Asia will remain undernourished.

World fish supply has kept up with population growth where the average annual population growth was 1.6% in the period 1961 – 2013 compared with growth in fish supply of 3.2% for the same period[2].  However, according to the FAO The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2016 (Sofia) report, the world per capita apparent fish consumption increased from an average of 9.9kg in the 1960s to 14.4kg in the 1990s and to 19.7kg in 2013 with a preliminary estimate for 2016 of more than 20kg. 

World fish production is likely to continue growing reaching projected production of 196 million tonnes by 2025 with the majority of growth coming from aquaculture[3].  According to the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 (2016) about 91% of world fishery production is estimated to be used for direct human consumption.  The production growth in aquaculture can be attributed to increased productivity and technological progress while production in capture fisheries has levelled off since mid-1980s at about 85–95 million tonnes per annum.  Increased fish production from aquaculture has boosted the fish consumption.

Figure 1: Global capture fisheries and aquaculture production to 2025. (Source: FAO Sofia 2016)

The majority of increased aquaculture production is expected to originate from developing countries with most increases in production expected in Latin America and in particular in Brazil along with an expansion of production in Africa. 

Fish consumption contributes to a nutritious healthy diet with its high protein content containing all essential amino acids, essential fats (such as the long chain omega-3 fatty acids), vitamins and minerals.  The growth in aquaculture contributes towards the global supply of nutritious food and fish proteins is a crucial component in the diets of densely populated countries. 

A large proportion of fishmeal and fish oil is used in animal feed and the distribution as feed by market can be seen in Figures 2 and 3.

Figure 2: Fishmeal use by market in 2015

Figure 3: Fish oil use by market in 2015

Fishmeal has become a speciality ingredient in animal feed because of its high protein level and amino acid composition as well as presence of valuable minerals and vitamins.  Fishmeal and fish oil production from capture fish is relatively stable (it can be less or more depending on weather and natural conditions) but a 15% increase in fishmeal production (from average 2013 -15 level) and 17% in fish oil production is foreseen by 2025[4].  The increase can mainly be attributed to larger volumes of by-products being utilised for fishmeal and fish oil production. 

 

 

[1] Lem, A., Bjorndal, T. & Lappo, A. 2014. Economic analysis of supply and demand for food up to 2030 – Special focus on fish and fishery products., FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Circular No. 1089. Rome, FAO. 106 pp.

[2] FAO. 2016. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2016. Contributing to food security and nutrition for all. Rome. 200 pp.

[3] OECD/FAO (2016), OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025, OECD Publishing, Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-en

[4] OECD/FAO (2016), OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025, OECD Publishing, Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-en